Stop the Bailout or We’ll Pay Dearly!

stop the government bailout of the irresponsible
Congress would like the prudent to pay for the misdeeds of the irresponsible. Of course the cost will show up in your tax bill or the ever shrinking buying power of our dollar. Enough is enough.

Say now or pay later. Visit this website dedicated to stopping the mortgage/real estate bailout. Stop the Mortgage Bailout.

From the website…

This site is dedicated to stopping the government’s planned bailout of the housing market. A bailout requires responsible Americans to pay for the acts of greedy bankers, mortgage brokers, flippers, and over-extended homeowners. In other words, the government wants you to pay for the blunders of others who knew, or should have known, better.

Equally as important, a bailout would permanently price out of the housing market all those responsible Americans who have been patiently saving to buy a house that they can actually afford. The current housing correction is necessary to correct for the historic run up in housing prices over the past decade, which has pushed the price of housing beyond affordability. By bailing out the housing market, the government will prevent housing prices from returning to affordability and thereby ensure that young families will not be able to afford homeownership.

A government bailout of the housing market is both fiscally and morally irresponsible; it is an unfair subsidy being paid to the wealthy (bankers), the greedy (mortgage brokers, flippers, and yes some homeowners), and the incautious (some homeowners), with no benefit to those paying the bill (taypayers).

Why should responsible Americans be forced to pay for the mistakes of others?

They are stealing from us. Let them know we know. United we can stop them.

Obama on Mortgage Crisis, Hypocrite or Ignorant You Decide

In December of last year, I posted on Hillary Clinton’s views of the mortgage meltdown. So it was with great interest that I read Moe’s post on Barack Obama and the mortgage crisis. In fact, I liked it so much that I asked permission to cross post it here.

Moe runs the blog Loan Modification & Home Loan News, which is dedicated to assisting homeowners facing the mortgage crisis. If you are facing a mortgage or foreclosure problem, it would do you some good to check out his blog. He has already helped 19 homeowners save their homes. For that I tip my hat and also thank him for allowing me to cross post his article.

My take on the article is that Moe is right on. This article exposes Obama as being part of the same old problem in Washington. Which in a nutshell is money over people. So not only is Obama a hypocrite with respect to the mortgage crisis, he is one based on his campaign theme of “change”. What Moe’s post exposes isn’t change at all. Rather it’s the same old, same old. Obama is either ignorant of where his money is coming from or a hypocrite, you decide. Either way, these are not qualities that endear me to any Presidential candidate.

The last thing this country needs, in these very critical times, is more political cronyism. This is true even if the favoritism is wrapped in the word “change”.

Is Obama for the People or the Banks?


By Moe on March 2nd, 2008

Let’s get something straight here America.

The President of the United States is to work for the common good of the people for which they represent and serve. Yes, represent and serve. They do not take the oval office to work for the “special interests” of corporate America and the money that fills their campaign buckets.

Or do they?

I have been watching Barrack Obama for quite sometime and what I have seen, has been nothing short of disappointing. Obama has been mostly silent in regards to his policy on the mortgage and housing crisis. He has done little to address the millions of Americans that are “suffering” as a result of these loans they were sold by irresponsible lenders.

I came across this interesting article in the Huffington Post by Earl Ofari Hutchinson. Here are some quotes that I thought I would share with my readers. Since they need to know what candidates truly have their backs. Meaning, which candidate is truly here for the people which they represent and the millions of homeowners that were swindled by the banks.

Democratic presidential contender Barack Obama says he’ll crack down on fraudulent sub-prime lenders. If he really means it he can start by firing his campaign finance chair, Penny Pritzker. Before taking over Obama’s campaign finances, she headed up the borderline shady and failed Superior Bank. It collapsed in 2002. The bank’s sordid story and its abominable role in fueling the sub-prime crisis are well known and documented. It engaged in deceptive and faulty lending, questionable accounting practices, and charged hidden fees. It did it with the sleepy-eyed see-no-evil oversight of federal. It made thousands of dubious loans to mostly poor, strapped homeowners. A disproportionate number of them were minority.

I am not really familiar with this Penny Pritzker. So, I thought I would do a Google search and this is what I found. This is from wikipedia.

On February 20, 2008, Flashpoints Radioproduced an investigative report segment into how Penny Pritzker’s possible role in the current predatory lending(aka. sub-prime) crisis. According to investigative reporter Tim Anderson, Superior Bank, FSB of Hinsdale, Illinois, was owned by the Pritzker family until closed by the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named Receiver. Superior Bank was among the original lending institutions who used their investors money to purchase “subprime” mortgages for securitization. Pritzker banking resources working with Ernst & Young and Merrill Lynch developed the original mortgage securitation package, putting mortgages into a bond and then selling the bond. Like many banks nationwide, the decision to participate and underwrite subprime business ultimately proved fatal for their mortgage division.

Here is the podcast that I feel everyone should listen to from Flashpoints Radio.

Wednesday, February 20, 2008 Listen D’load Podcast - Today on Flashpoints: Today on Flashpoints, An investigative report into Penny Pritzker, the 2008 campaign finance chairman for Barack Obama, who was a key mover and shaker in creating the sub-prime meltdown;

It doesn’t end there and keep in mind, this is all as easy as doing a 30 second Google search. This is a November 8, 2002 article is from Inside These Times:

After federal regulators closed the $2.3 billion Superior Bank in July 2001, investigations revealed that the suburban Chicago thrift was tainted with the hallmarks of a mini-Enron scandal. New legal developments are adding additional twists, including racketeering charges. And yet the bank’s owners, members if one of America’s wealthiest families, ultimately could end up profiting from the bank’s collapse, while many of Superior’s borrowers and depositors suffer financial losses.

The Superior story has a familiar ring. Using a variety of shell companies and complex financial gimmicks, Superior’s managers and owners exaggerated the profits and financial soundness of the bank. While the company actually lost money throughout most of the ’90s, publicly it appeared to be growing remarkably fast and making unusually large profits. Under that cover, the floundering enterprise paid its owners huge dividends and provided them favorable loans and other financial deals deemed illegal by federal investigators.

Wanting to avoid a lawsuit, the secretive Pritzkers quickly agreed to what the FDIC hailed in December as the biggest settlement they had ever negotiated. The Pritzkers would pay $100 million immediately, then $360 million over 15 years. But there were lots of little provisions in the agreement that benefit the Pritzkers. First, as former bank consultant and longtime thrift watchdog Tim Anderson notes, the $100 million doesn’t even quite pay back all of the unpaid loans made to the owners. The Pritzkers also pay no interest on the $360 million, and since it is paid over many years, the real cost to the Pritzkers may be only around $250 million. As of September 2002, according to FDIC figures, the insurance fund was still out $440 million after this settlement.

But it gets even sweeter for the Pritzkers. The FDIC also agreed to pay the Pritzkers 25 percent of any claim won in a lawsuit against Ernst & Young. Since the FDIC is now suing for $548 million, the Pritzker share could be $137 million. On top of that, the agreement stated that the Pritzkers get half of any civil penalties from such a lawsuit (after certain agency expenses). The FDIC is asking for triple damages, or $1.64 billion; the Pritzker share could be over $800 million.

Even taking into account the “record” settlement they made with the FDIC, the Pritzkers could make more than $700 million in additional profit for running a financial institution into the ground. They had already profited handsomely, sharing in the more than $200 million in dividends to the owners in the ’90s. They accomplished all this with an investment of about $21 million for each partner—though the Pritzkers had also already benefited from $645 million in tax credits.

Meanwhile, roughly 1,000 depositors who had deposits above $100,000 in a Superior account—money above the FDIC-insured limit—lost about $65 million. Most of them were middle-class individuals, attracted by Superior’s high interest rates.

Here is the failed Superior Bank information from the FDIC

So, what does all this tell the American people? The suffering American homeowner that is struggling in one of the very same loans that Penny Pritzker used to pedal at her “Superior Swindle of a Bank”?

How can Barack Obama say you have a splinter in your eye when there is a log in his?

Personally to me, it shows that Mr. Obama is all about the Benjamin’s (AKA Money) and speeches with his big white toothed grin and hollow words that seem to have Americans under his spell and hanging on to his every word as his pockets are lined by the very sharks that feed off of suffering Americans.

Isn’t Obama supposed to protect the people against these corporations or is he to align himself with them to win an election? Hell, it seems like it doesn’t matter where that money came from to fund his campaign. As long as it serves his purpose and this purpose seems to be rearing its ugly head in the form of campaign contributions from the very same people that he criticises.

You are contradicting yourself Obama. Why don’t you read exactly what this means and I’ll help you by posting the wikipedia version of the term “contradiction.”

In logic, a contradiction consists of a logical incompatibility between two or more propositions. It occurs when the propositions, taken together, yield two conclusions which form the logical inversions of each other. Illustrating a general tendency in applied logic, Aristotle’s law of noncontradiction states that “One cannot say of something that it is and that it is not in the same respect and at the same time.”

More from Inside These Times:

Ernst & Young provided inaccurate audits, resisted regulators, and did not test or properly disclose crucial financial assumptions. The OTS didn’t investigate or follow up on problems adequately, ignored warning signs for years, and unduly relied on the expertise of managers, the auditor’s report, and the promise of the wealthy owners to put their money behind the bank’s strategy, which they ultimately refused to do. While the FDIC lawsuit against Ernst & Young correctly highlights the accounting firm’s sorry record of accounting malpractice, it ignores the dubious history of the Pritzkers and Dworman in cases ranging from tax evasion to bank mismanagement, instead praising the Pritzkers for their charity.

What looked like a good deal for the FDIC in resolving Superior’s failure is now looking like yet another opportunity for the wealthy Pritzkers to further profit from their misdeeds. Certainly, the record suggests that Ernst & Young bears responsibility, but so do the Pritzkers and Dworman. The question is not just who will extract money from whose pocket in the aftermath of the bank failure, but also whether the rich are simply above the law. The RICO lawsuit against bank managers, owners and auditors raises the issue of criminal conspiracy and at least attempts to recover damages for the uninsured depositors. But beyond that, argues thrift watchdog Anderson, “I think there ought to be a criminal investigation.”

More wise words from Earl Ofari Hutchinson from the Huffington Post:

Obama boosters will try to muddy the water by fingering Pritzker’s brother, Jay Robert Pritzker, who heads up a campaign committee for Hillary Clinton. That’s irrelevant. Jay Robert did not head up Superior Bank when it ran roughshod over homeowners in Illinois and nationally. He does not head up Clinton’s campaign finance committee. The campaign committee he started is one of dozens of Clinton campaign committees that operate in many states.

Obama’s message is one of hope and especially change. He can prove it by changing his finance chair, and doing it now. And then telling the public what he will do to stop bank’s like the one his financial point person headed from bleeding needy and desperate home buyers dry.

The predictable happened when many of those lost their homes. When the bank collapsed Pritzker and bank officials skipped away with their profits and reputations intact. Aside from the financial and personal misery sub prime lenders caused the thousands of distressed homeowners, sub-prime lending has been a major cause of the housing crisis in many areas, and has dealt a sledgehammer blow to the economy. Obama has said nothing about Pritzker, Superior Bank, or their dubious practices.

Instead, there was a touching, even teary eyed photo op, moment during one of Obama’s Texas campaign swings. There was Obama talking to a group of San Antonio residents and lambasting the CEO of a sub-prime lender for greedily snatching at a $100 million buy out package while thousands of home borrowers that his company snookered into loans at below market rates faced foreclosure or the threat of foreclosure.

So let me get this straight Obama. You can berate a CEO like Angelo Mozilo (I assume that is who you are speaking of) for taking profits as a result of snookering the American people. But when it comes to accepting money for your campaign, it is quite all right to take money from a woman who snookered American Homeowners and was made rich off the backs of people for which she made toxic loans to.

Excuse me Barack Obama, Penny Pritzker is guilty of the very same thing for which you had a lambasting fest in San Antonio. Now, lets see if main stream media is also under Obama’s goofy grinned spell and if they will pick up this very important information that the American people “need” to know.

Finally! The REAL Criminals are Being Targeted

For months the Mortgage Guy has been fighting the flawed perception that those most culpable for the mortgage meltdown are the buyers, realtors and mortgage originators. Conventional wisdom would have you believe they are most and directly responsible for the real estate meltdown and the mortgage crisis.

My contention is that the home buyers, real estate agents and mortgage originators are being wrongly blamed for the mortgage meltdown. Sure they played a part, but I believe their respective responsibilities for the debacle is minimal and leaning toward innocence in nature and intent.

All political and regulatory emphasis to date, has been put on either adding to already burdensome lending regulations or bailing out the “greedy” home buyer. That is until the Securities and Exchange Commission set their sights on the mortgage securitization process. This is where the biggest, most serious and harmful crimes were committed.

A look at this recent Yahoo News article will give you an idea as to what the SEC is concerned with.

The Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating how banks, credit rating firms and lenders valued and disclosed complex mortgage-backed securities that ultimately led to the subprime crisis, a top agency enforcer said on Saturday.

The article points out that while the SEC didn’t name the companies involved, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley have disclosed regulatory investigations pertaining to their role in the credit crisis. In all, there are over thirty firms being looked at. It goes on to say…

Banks, due diligence firms and credit rating agencies are being examined for their role in the securitization process, or how mortgages were sold, repackaged and bundled into special financial products.

The SEC is looking at the valuations and accounting treatments of mortgage-backed securities. It is looking at whether the securities were valued correctly in the first place, what was the level of risk and if that was adequately disclosed to shareholders.

In my opinion, the investment banks, with help from others, committed the fraud of labeling credit standard deficient loans as AAA investment grade paper. By doing so, they were able to feed a huge hunger for safe but uncharacteristically high yielding investments. Feeding this appetite for high yet safe yield, allowed for the spread of this toxic paper all over the world.

The investment banks could not pull off the crime of the century without having ample assistance. This is where the ratings agencies and due diligence firms/departments come into play.

It is up to due diligence entities to properly assess the risk and suitability of investments. Apparently, based on the total destruction of our credit markets, these due diligence “experts” couldn’t see that by mixing a pot of AAA mortgages with a pot of DDD mortgages one cannot expect an investment pool deserving a AAA rating as the end result. This is so even if you take into consideration that they bought “insurance” on the portfolio.

The final gate keeper responsible for safeguarding the investment public from misdeeds such as these, are the credit rating agencies. These so called “independent” firms really have the final say as to the grade of any debt security. Yet they also couldn’t see that an investment portfolio with a major exposure to credit standard deficient mortgages should not be rated AAA in safety.

A reasonable person would wonder why the ratings agencies would implicate themselves in what turns out to be the total destruction of our debt markets. The answer is the same for all involved. Money.

At S&P, for instance, no longer will they hand out triple-A’s to issuers who pay them boatloads of fees. They now will employ an ombudsman to listen to complaints about the agencies handing out triple-A’s to issuers who pay them boatloads of fees.

What if General Motors built cars that didn’t run, or your local dairy produced sour milk? What if your bank said it didn’t deposit your paycheck because it lost it, or the electric company just quit supplying your neighborhood?

Then, in response to it all, those companies said: good news, we’re hiring an ombudsman. The ratings agencies in the same fashion have failed on their intrinsic purpose: to judge the likelihood that a debt will default. As of Tuesday they’re about 0 for a few billion.

The quote is from an excellent MarketWatch article that gives insight into the role the ratings agencies played in the destruction of our credit markets. I owe a huge hat tip to The Common Sense Forecaster for bringing my attention to it.

It’s important to realize that events leading to the mortgage meltdown occurred on a “top down” basis. Buyers cannot buy from realtors unless mortgage originators have the loan programs to fit the buyer’s profile. The mortgage originators cannot offer loan programs unless lenders are providing them. The lenders will not provide loan programs unless the securitizers can turn the mortgages into marketable securities and the ratings agencies have the final say as to the grade (the likelihood of default) of those securities.

Proof for this observation is the current state of the mortgage industry. Despite the current demand, no longer are 100% financing for credit damaged borrowers and stated income and asset programs available. This is because lenders cannot securitize these types of loans. They cannot securitize these loans because it has become painfully apparent to investors that these once called AAA investments are nothing of the sort.

Also evidenced by the current state of the mortgage industry, is that without the securitization of mortgages, no one lends and thus, no one buys real estate or borrows money against their house. This makes it clear that it is the securitization engine that drives the entire mortgage process and in turn the real estate markets.

The demand still exists for 100% financing, no income, no asset loans and subprime/alt A loans in general. Being that these programs are no longer available, makes clear that the mortgage business is not driven from the bottom up. The demand is still there, yet it goes unanswered because the securitizers cannot sell the mortgage backed securities. The business is indeed driven by top down forces.

Realizing that the mortgage industry runs on securitization, it’s plain to see who the real criminals are in the mortgage crisis. It is clearly the securitizers, due diligence firms and ratings agencies. They are the major force behind the mortgage industry and it’s destruction.

Without the securitizers lying about the credit quality of the subprime mortgages being securitized, and the winks and the nods from the due diligence firms and ratings agencies, the securitizers could have never sold anywhere near the amount of toxic debt that has been polluting investment portfolios and economies around the world.

The fraud committed by these criminals created the immense capital that led buyers and originators to use the unsuitable mortgage products that have led us into this world wide crisis. They enabled the lenders, originators, realtors and buyers in committing their misdeeds which have led to the total seizing of our credit markets. This in turn has thrust our economy into recession and potentially much worse.

Now it should be clear to all, the buyer, realtor and originators were simply responding to demand that was met by capital that was fraudulently raised. All the buyers wanted was a piece of the “American Dream”. Realtors sought to help them get it and the originators were empowered to provide the financing by the capital raised through fraudulent means.

These subprime/alt A, toxic loan programs simply appeared on our rate sheets. The guidelines specifically allowed for damaged credit, no down payments, no proof of income, assets and in some cases no proof of having a job. There was no fraud involved because the product guidelines allowed for these aspects specifically.

Originators who realized these types of loans were time bombs waiting to explode, could not refuse to sell them. If they did, the consumer would just go to another originator offering these programs. Believe me, there were many originators who saw the writing on the wall two to three years ago. Yet we were powerless to do anything about it. It wasn’t our money being lent, thus we had no say and market forces worked against dissent.

It’s time to end the mis-perception that it was the greed of buyers, realtors and originators that led us into the subprime/credit crisis. Yes to a degree this element played a part in the dilemma but this is not the real cause of the meltdown. It was the titanic greed of the securitizers and their “assistants” that fraudulently created the capital and market forces that have led us to the historic break down of our credit markets and economy.

The first step in restoring confidence in the debt markets shouldn’t be bailouts for the investment banks and insurers. Nor should it be bailing out homeowners through rendering legal contracts as useless. The healing will begin when the real criminals are outed and the perp walks proceed down Wall Street.

Then the world will know our markets are governed by the rule of law, one set of laws for all and no one above the law, as opposed to political cronyism. The perception of political and regulatory cronyism will undoubtedly taint our securities markets forever. This will further weaken the United States’ ability to be a world class economic player.

Severe Home Value Declines Expected for 2008

Entering what could be the worst recession in generations, homeowners can expect to see the values of their homes decline dramatically over the next year or two. Home prices will decline due to a soft market where sellers are lowering their prices daily. Foreclosures will also impact home values negatively and 2008 is expected to be a record year for foreclosures. Foreclosures add to inventory and usually sell at less than market value prices.

I know, cycles come and cycles go but this time it’s different. We aren’t talking about 5% to 10% declines, more like 30% or higher on a national level.

This is from CBS MarketWatch

Merrill Lynch says U.S. nationwide home prices may fall 30%

Merrill Lynch forecasts nationwide U.S. home prices could decline 25% to 30% over the next three years, as new supply and weak demand weigh on the market. “This sounds dire… but would only reverse part of the unprecedented 130% price surge from 2000 to 2006,” wrote economist David Rosenberg in a research note released Wednesday. Rosenberg added the S&P 500 may decline an additional 20% to 25% to breach the 1,100-point level if the market follows historical precedents at times when the U.S. economy is in recession.

More evidence of this trend is the number of properties in foreclosure. Here are some numbers from California.

DataQuick Information Systems reported yesterday that foreclosures rose 353 percent to 7,349, while default notices – the start of the foreclosure process – increased 128 percent to 20,138. The numbers were the highest since DataQuick began keeping track of county foreclosures in 1988 and defaults in 1992.

Here is what is happening in Wisconsin.

“When I started in 1998, there were fewer than 800 for the entire year, maybe 20 or 30 a week,” said Eileen Carlson, a civilian employee of the Sheriff’s Office who helps supervise the weekly sale of foreclosed property.

“We’ve already issued 1,000 docket numbers for 2008. We’re already booking sales into March.”

Close by in Massachusetts, it’s just as discouraging.

Mortgage companies foreclosed on 7,563 Massachusetts homes last year, almost nine times the number in 2005, when the housing boom peaked, and almost three times the number in 2006.

It’s pretty much the same for the Northeast in general.

The pending sale index’s drop in states including New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts and Connecticut was triple other U.S. regions and demonstrates home sellers are having to lower expectations as the real estate slump worsens…

…“The northeast is getting hit hard,” said Paul Rinkulis, an agent at Keliher Real Estate in Boston. “It’s at least as bad as it was in the late 1980s, early 1990s, and that was bad.”

Here in Connecticut, it’s pretty much more of the same.

A slower housing market and the proliferation of risky mortgage products continue to drive up foreclosure rates across Connecticut. Preliminary figures for February gathered by RealtyTrac Inc., a national online marketplace for foreclosure properties, show a total of 1,451 foreclosure filings in Connecticut, a 61 percent increase over the corresponding period last year.

Your home’s value is directly affected by the price of homes sold in your immediate area. When a home is appraised, several comparable sales are used in determining the value. If sellers in the area are lowering prices, your home’s price would more than likely be affected as well.

It’s plain to see values will fall over the foreseeable future. Now is the time to take care of refinancing and cashing out if you still have enough home value and can meet ever tightening lending requirements. The market situation can make it more costly to borrow and in some instances, the occurrence of which is happening more and more, impossible to borrow.

Economic Cancer Is Spreading

For months now the Mortgage Guy has been concerned about an impending recession and possibly something much worse, a depression on the scale of the 1930’s. It’s been my view that the mortgage meltdown could spread to other types of debt, namely installment loans and credit credit card debt.

Of course if this were to happen, it would be a knock out blow to the consumer and any hopes that consumer spending would help us to avoid a recession or get us out of one.

Well the cancer is spreading to other types of debt as pointed out in this Market Watch article.

“The story of this quarter is consumer loans,” said Zach Gast, an analyst at The Center for Financial Research and Analysis, a unit of RiskMetrics Group.

Until the middle of last year, consumer loan losses were held in check as house prices climbed, allowing borrowers refinance mortgages or take out home-equity loans and use the cash to pay off credit card bills and auto loans.

But as the subprime-fueled credit crisis erupted in August, such activity ground to a halt.

The consumer’s debt pressure relief valve, the cash out refinance, no longer exists. Debt balances are growing and the consumer is struggling to service that debt. There is nothing in the pockets of the consumer to fuel economic growth. Consumer spending represents 70% of gross domestic product and now it’s gone.

With consumer spending now accounting for a record 71% of our gross domestic product, it will take a whopping increase in business spending and exports to keep the U.S. economy out of recession.

With broken debt markets, it’s impossible to avoid recession and or depression. The same holds true for the U.S. banking system, which is alarmingly close to insolvency. The solution, provided by the fed, is to lower interest rates. These lower rates have no way to get into the hands of those who need or want them because the delivery system, the debt markets, isn’t functioning. Zero interest rates does no one any good if the lenders aren’t lending.

No problem can be solved until it is recognized to be a problem. Nor can a problem be solved unless it is completely understood. Joe Sixpack, industry professionals and most certainly our political leaders and regulators either don’t recognize the problem or fully understand it. This just adds to the danger at hand.

The problem is there is no confidence in the debt markets and consequently they aren’t functioning. Unless the debt markets are restored and functioning properly, we are all economically doomed.

Mortgage and Credit Crisis Reaches 9/11 Stature

It’s both good and bad news. Good because maybe, just maybe the Fed has come to realize just how serious our situation has become. Bad because, well things are very bad. At least we know the dilemma is on their radar.

Yesterday, the Dow sold off to the tune of 298 points in response to the Fed’s quarter point cut in the Fed Funds rate. Then to today they attempted to address our malfunctioning debt markets. The Dow shot up a couple of hundred points initially on the news but gave all but 41 points back by it’s close.

From Marketwatch…

Ahead of Wall Street’s open, the Federal Reserve announced plans to ease elevated pressures in credit markets, saying it would inject cash into the markets through auction of short-term funds.

The Fed also announced foreign exchange swap lines with the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank. The Bank of Canada is also a partner in the liquidity plan. The first auction will be held Monday, Dec. 17.

The Fed’s action is significant because they haven’t deployed a strategy like this since 9/11/2001, as the International Herald Tribune points out.

It was the first time since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks in New York and on the Pentagon that these central banks have coordinated their support of financial markets.

That’s right, the mortgage and credit crisis has reached 9/11 stature. It’s about time the Fed and central banks around the world wake up to the economic crisis that we are faced with. The first step in solving a problem is recognizing and understanding it. Perhaps they have taken the first step.

“This is not about particular financial institutions with particular problems,” a senior Fed official said in a background briefing for reporters. “It is about market functioning.”

Nor is it just about economic cycles as I pointed out yesterday. But there is doubt the plan is grand enough to work.

Economists and market specialists welcomed the Fed’s intervention but expressed some skepticism whether it would be enough to allay the biggest problems in the credit markets related to the sharp drop in the value of U.S. mortgage securities.

I agree, I doubt it’s enough to cure the disease. Especially when it’s rumored that Citigroup alone is holding 100 billion in SIV’s or structured investment vehicles. That’s just one player. So you can see 10 billion here and 20 billion there are mere bandaids on an open chest wound.

One thing we do know. The mainstream media, the politicians, the CEO’s and of course the central bankers haven’t shot straight with the public. Nor are they now. If they say it’s this bad, assume it’s ten times worse. The information is out there, but you need to dig for it.

Today’s Fed Move or Lack of One is Much Ado About Nothing

In an effort to avoid a recession in 2008, the Federal Reserve cut the Federal Funds Rate by .25% today. The rate reduction was quickly rejected by Wall Street as evidenced by today’s 298 point fall. The stock market apparently was hoping for a .50% cut.

In my opinion, it’s much ado about nothing. Further it shows that the stock market and the Fed just don’t get it. This problem is much more than addressing an economic cycle.

Without a properly functioning debt securities market, there is no way to avoid a recession or grow the economy, which could very well lead us to a depression.

We have a severely broken debt market that may lead to the failure of our banking system. This is a far bigger issue than economic cycles. Jim over at the Depression of 2006 blog notes…

What is really happening at the Bernanke and Paulson level? The banking system could collapse. Unless they can keep the homeowner making payments the game is over. In order to keep the banks from dropping dead, the really bad stuff cannot be allowed to be marked to market.

With regard to our banking system, therein lies the issue. We don’t know how much bad paper they are hiding. A bomb could be dropped any day now. This can also be an explanation for why the banks are reluctant to lend to each other. They know the game and they know it’s possible they won’t be repaid.

We can weather economic cycles when equipped with a healthy, or at the very least functioning, banking system and debt market. Without them, I’m not so sure.

Besides fanniemae, freddiemac and the FHA, there isn’t much happening in the mortgage market and we’ve all heard the bad news on fannie and freddie. Millions of people can no longer access their wealth, which is disappearing daily, through mortgage lending. My product shelf has literally been decimated. It’s getting worse too, not better. The end of the mortgage crisis is a long ways off. In fact, we are in the very early stages.

Now you have the mortgage debacle spilling over into the revolving and consumer debt industries. Soon credit lines will be tapped out and delinquencies will reach the levels of the mortgage industry. Then these avenues for accessing credit will shut down too.

The reach of the credit crisis is global. It will negatively impact global economies like it’s affecting ours. With the US in recession, global economies won’t have the US economy to feed their growth. Further, their banking systems and debt markets will suffer in ways that parallel ours. For what it’s worth, as the contagion spreads globally, I see the dollar strengthening.

Today’s measure will do little in avoiding a recession in 2008. The problem is mechanical, not cyclical. The Fed will be ineffective using monetary policy to fix a mechanical economic breakdown . Quarters and half points matter little when there is no delivery system in place (the debt market and banking system) for the “discounted” money.

Credit Score Authorized User Scam Coming to an End

The sales pitch goes something like this. “Raise your credit score by fifty to one hundred points immediately”. You may have received the spam or have seen the banner ads. I consider it fraud and Fair Isaac, the creator of the Fico Score, is ending the party.

First off, there is very little that is immediate with credit scores. Everything takes time to filter through. Thats true for on time payments, late payments, credit increases, usage, etc. This “instant gratification element” alone should serve as a warning that something is amiss.

It works like this. The scam artists find people with good credit and credit lines that they are willing to rent. These people are hooked up, for a fee paid by the latter party, with people looking to raise their credit score.

The people looking to raise their score are added to the good credit person’s credit card as an “authorized user”. By adding a credit line that is paid on time and has at least 50% of the credit line available, a credit score can indeed be raised.

With the proliferation of scam artists and fraud, Fair Isaac has decided to change their scoring model to end the scams. In other words, authorized user rentals won’t work any longer.

Authorized user abuse is addressed on the Fair Isaac website as follows:

June 5, 2007 - (Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA) - Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE:FIC) today announced that it will adjust its FICO scoring formula to ensure the continued reliability and predictive power of FICO scores. This action is intended to protect lenders and FICO scores from abuse of authorized user credit card accounts by a new kind of credit repair service that sells consumer credit card histories to credit applicants in order to purposefully misrepresent the applicants’ own credit history to lenders and other businesses.

The adjustment removes authorized user accounts from consideration by the scoring model in FICO 08, the newest version of the Classic FICO credit score which Fair Isaac expects to become available to lenders starting in September.

Fair Isaac will work closely with lenders to help them implement and benefit from the FICO 08 score as it becomes available.

As a consumer, don’t be taken in by the fraudulent manipulation of authorized user accounts. Save your money and time and take the traditional steps to improving your credit scores.

In light of today’s mortgage meltdown, fraud accusations are being pointed at everyone from the borrower to the credit rating agencies. It would be interesting to know to what extent authorized user manipulation was involved. Knowing their data capabilities, I am sure the credit reporting agencies could easily provide us with this information.

Bailout! - Hillary’s Ineptitude and Political Pandering

Clinton advocates for socialistic policies that will destroy the mortgage industry and economy.If it makes for good press, you can bet your last dollar that politicians will jump on the band wagon. This is so even if what makes good press, is a disaster in disguise. Saving people’s homes from foreclosure is good press.

Having said this, does it come as a surprise that Hillary Clinton is joining the chorus for a socialistic mortgage bailout? If it does, it shouldn’t. The following is a 4 minute video of Clinton’s speech to Wall Street, brought to you by Marketwatch.

Hillary Clinton’s Financial Ineptitude Documented

Some of her statements are correct. For example, Wall Street’s role in the mortgage meltdown and that it will impact the broader economy. However, she goes downhill fast after that.

Here is where she is dead wrong with her most dangerous statements listed first.

  • Her threat to introduce legislation to disallow mortgage backed securities investors from suing. This will undoubtedly destroy mortgage securitization which is the backbone of the industry. Who will buy mortgage securities knowing that the government can change financial contracts on a whim and without the investors having any legal recourse? Is this even Constitutional?
  • The ninety day moratorium on foreclosures is nearly as dangerous. Perverting the foreclosure process will also prevent investors from buying mortgage paper. Further, by the their own admission, the bailout will only affect a very limited number homeowners. Yet she suggests a moratorium on ALL foreclosures.
  • What is to stop other homeowners from suing for better rates on their mortgages? It is discriminatory to freeze or lower some payments and not the payments of all homeowners. Who decides who gets what and under what circumstances?
  • She claims rate resets are responsible for the meltdown, yet it’s been pointed out that at least half of those in default today, are doing so on their initial low teaser rates. It’s also been pointed out that falling values play a significant role in the increase in defaults. When homeowners realize that they are massively upside down in value, they often choose to default on their loans.
  • Her assertion that mortgage brokers have a significant role in the mortgage meltdown is also a flawed position as I point out in this previous post.

The video is proof that Hillary Clinton, like George Bush, Henry Paulson, Barney Frank and Chuck Schumer, et al, are severely ill equipped to correct the mortgage and real estate meltdown. This becomes more evident each and every time these people open their mouths.

They are simply politicizing the issue without providing real solutions. Remember, their number one goal in life isn’t to help American homeowners, but to get elected and maintain or increase their power.

The freeze will only make the problem worse. Don’t drink the kool aid and prepare for some very rough times ahead. Times made even rougher with do nothing, feel good and very damaging initiatives.

It’s About Time

It’s about time the powers that be recognize who is really to blame for the mortgage crisis. Andrew Cuomo, who by the way I am no fan of, is sending out Wall Street subpoenas.

Finally reality is setting in with the realization that a mere middleman in the mortgage process, simply cannot be the primary cause of the mortgage meltdown.

I’ve maintained that real bad guys are the risk management departments and credit ratings agencies. Seems like Cuomo agrees.

Marketwatch provides coverage of this newsworthy event.

The office of New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo has sent subpoenas to request information from severalWall Street firms, including Merrill Lynch & Co. (MER) , Bear Stearns Cos. (BSC) and Deutsche Bank AG (DB) , The Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

Prosecutors in a broader investigation of the mortgage business are looking into how well the banks examined the quality of mortgages before packaging them into products sold to investors, the report said. The probe also focuses on how the debt was pooled into securities, including banks’ arrangements with credit-rating firms, the newspaper reported.

Ratings companies are also under pressure after asset-backed securities that were rated investment grade plunged in value as a result of the turmoil on credit and mortgage markets.

Banks and lenders often package pools of mortgages, create securities from them and sell them to other investors, rather than keeping them on the balance sheet.

A step in the right direction as it shows an understanding of what really happened to the mortgage backed securities market. As you know, without securitization, there is no mortgage industry.

The people charged with fixing the issue should be focusing on fixing the debt markets, like right now. If they do, we have a shot at limiting future economic damage caused by this mortgage and real estate meltdown. I know, I’m asking for too much.